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兔年即将驾到,春节对汇市影响几何?

Vantage 更新 Updated Tue, 2023 January 17 06:08

转眼又到了中国人最重要的节日——春节。春节虽定在农历正月初一,但春节的活动却并不止于正月初一这天。从年尾小年起,人们便开始“忙年”:祭灶、扫尘、购置年货、贴年红、洗头沐浴、张灯结彩等等。所有这些活动,有一个共同的主题,即“辞旧迎新”,春节假期往往会持续到元宵节,从正月初一到正月十五,也就是俗称的“过年”。春节是欢乐祥和、合家团圆的节日,也是敦亲祀祖、祭祝祈年的日子。

和西方圣诞节的圣诞老人和圣诞树一样,春节也有它独有的节日符号——十二生肖。2023年的生肖是兔,因此2023年又被称为“兔年”。过年时,人们也会运用对应生肖的谐音,创造出各种有趣的祝福语。春节期间的庆祝活动极为丰富多彩,有舞狮、飘色、舞龙、游神、庙会、逛花街、赏花灯、游锣鼓、游标旗、放烟花、祈福、掼春,也有踩高跷、跑旱船、扭秧歌等等。春节期间贴年红、守岁、吃团圆饭、拜年等各地皆有之,但因中国地大物博,风土人情各不相同,因此各地的风俗又具有鲜明的当地色彩。

不止中国人会过春节,越南,新加坡,韩国,朝鲜,蒙古,菲律宾,马来西亚,印度尼西亚等一些亚洲国家都将春节纳入了法定节日。除了长期受东方文化影响的国家,还有分布在世界各地的华人也是过农历春节的主力军,每逢这个时候,这些在海外的游子都会进行各种各样的庆祝活动。

除了上面这些习俗,中国人在春节期间还喜欢买黄金,意在添个好彩头,图个吉利。以2022年为例,除夕至元宵节期间,中国的黄金消费同比增长了12%。季节性因素对于金价固然有着天然的提振。有意思的是,春节时美黄金上涨的概率也是挺高的。在2013年到2022年的除夕夜至元宵节,黄金上涨的概率为50%,下跌概率为30%,其余两次则处于震荡格局,其中三次的上涨幅度都在100美金左右。

2023年01月17日 许曦扬

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