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2023年01月23日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Mon, 2023 January 23 08:15

黄金外汇日评:周五美元延续低位震荡,非美普遍走高。黄金徘徊于1930附近,全球最大的黄金ETF持仓连续三个交易日增仓,为10月5日以来首次。美国12月成屋销售降至12年最低水平,但抵押贷款利率回落让人们燃起了谨慎的希望,即陷入困境的住房市场可能接近找到底部支撑。同时,房价中位数上涨速度为新冠疫情初期以来最慢,一些地区的卖家不得不提供折扣。美联储自20世纪80年代以来最快的加息周期已将住房市场推入衰退。数据出炉后,美元进一步回落,后市大概率将继续走低。

本周将迎来美国四季度GDP和美国12月PCE数据,各国1月Markit制造业PMI初值,加央行决议,美国12月耐用品订单月率,美国1月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值,可重点关注。

美元上周破低,继续承压于5周均线,波段有望延续下行。周五收倒锤阴线,5日,10日均线呈空头排列,日线RSI持续下行,后市有望延续下行并测试101。

黄金连续多周上行,上探周线布林上轨,受5周均线依托,波段有望延续回升。周五破高反跌,仍立于5日均线上方,日线RSI位于高位,1920附近存在较强支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试1940,1955。

原油周线再度收阳,升破5周均线,但多头力量有限,波段仍趋于震荡偏空。周五小幅回升,5日,10日均线呈金叉,日线RSI位于50上方,后市有望延续回升并测试83,86。

欧美上周小幅走高,受5周均线支撑,且立于上行趋势线上方,波段有望延续反弹。周五收小阳线,周一跳空上行,升破前高,日线RSI进一步上扬,后市有望延续上行并测试1.09,1.0930

镑美周线呈前进三兵,布林带及均线呈多头排列,波段有望延续反弹。周五收锤子阳线,上探布林上轨,日线RSI位于50上方,1.24成为下方第一关键支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试前高。

澳美上周冲高回落,刺破关键压力0.70,波段有望延续回升。日线呈看涨吞没阳线,再度上探上行趋势线,升破5日均线,日线RSI拐头上行,后市有望延续上行并测试0
70及前高。

美日上周呈流星阳线,承压于5周均线,波段有望延续震荡下行。周五冲高回落,5日,10日均线呈空头排列,日线RSI位于50下方,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注127.5-131区间。

白银上周收出十字阴线,回踩10周均线,多头动能放缓,波段有望延续震荡上行。周五小幅反弹,升破5日均线,短期均线仍走平,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注23-24.5区间。

A50周线呈前进三兵,再度上探14000关口,波段有望延续反弹。周五继续收阳,上破5日均线,短期均线呈金叉,日线RSI靠近超买区,后市有望延续上行并测试14500。

2023年01月23日 许曦扬

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