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吉姆·罗杰斯给投资新手的3条冷门贴士

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吉姆·罗杰斯给投资新手的3条冷门贴士

吉姆·罗杰斯给投资新手的3条冷门贴士

Vantage Updated Tue, 2022 November 22 09:28
吉姆·罗杰斯给投资新手的3条冷门贴士

在新冠病毒全球大流行期间,一波统称为「一代投资者」(Generation Investors)的新投资者大量涌入股票市场。投资者教育基金会(FINRA Foundation)和芝加哥大学全国民意研究中心(NORC)的一项研究显示,新冠肺炎疫情期间所发生的股市大跌使得市场上出现大量便宜的股票 ,许多新手交易者和年轻交易者得以以更小的资金开始交易股票。

而在 Vantage 平台上,我们也看到新交易者和年轻交易者在疫情期间的数量实际增加了。在对传奇投资者吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)的独家采访中,我们有机会请教他对新手交易者的建议,以及他对当前市场状况的看法。观看影片:

以下是吉姆·罗杰斯对新手投资者给出的三条建议。

#1 停止寻找交易热点信息

“给我一个大热的交易热点。 我只想要一个投资热门贴士。请远离所谓的交易热点,只投资在你了解的事物。”

许多人认为投资很无聊,他们更希望得到一个可以在一周内快速致富的交易热门贴士。罗杰斯强调,与其依赖交易热点进行买卖,新手投资者更应专注坚守在自己所擅长和熟悉的领域,一无所知的事物则不碰。

事实上,每个人都有自己擅长和熟悉的领域,无论是汽车、时尚还是其他产品。投资在自己擅长和熟悉的领域有助于实现个人财富的增长,这是因为你能够更好地了解该公司的产品、行业和公司潜在的成长机会。

但是,如果我根本没有非常擅长或熟悉的领域,怎么办?吉姆对这个问题的观点是“耐心等待”。

作为一个对投资一无所知的新手交易者,你可以什么都不做、不进入市场交易,直到找到你有信心或完全了解的领域。在等待的时间,花点时间慢慢学习,对你感兴趣的领域努力搜集与掌握更多相关知识。过程可能会很枯燥无味,但这是参与交易和投资必须要走的第一步。

#2 为经济衰退做好准备

随着美国市场正处于历史上最长的牛市,我们请罗杰斯分享了他对即将到来的经济衰退的看法。

以下是他的观点。

“我在市场已经待了很长一段时间,历经多次牛熊市。与一些大熊市相比,即将到来的经济衰退并不能算是熊市。在2008年,全世界都面临着沉重的债务负担。即便是中国现在也有巨额债务,且在过去25年,甚至没有人愿意借钱给中国。但到了今天,全世界都背负着巨额债务,美国甚至已经成为世界历史上最大的债务国之一。

所有市场都将受此影响,并将大幅下跌。在即将到来的熊市期间,许多股票价格将下跌 70-80%,各地许多公司也会宣告破产倒闭。”

吉姆更表示来临的熊市不会只持续几个月,预计至少会持续3至4年时间。当股价持续处于下跌趋势,即可定义为熊市,通常会伴随着经济衰退和高失业率的发生 。

想进一步了解什么是经济衰退,推荐阅读以下文章:

  1. A guide to recession: everything you need to know
  2. 5 ways to prepare yourself for a recession
  3. Here’s how a recession can affect your portfolio 

#3 以大宗商品作为替代资产

每个人都想听听大宗商品大师分享他对大宗商品的见解。黄金和白银等大宗商品能否作为对冲通胀的一种方式? 大宗商品在这一代人的投资组合中可以占有一席之地吗?

罗杰斯说:“无论如何,对冲风险是一项非常明智的策略,只要你知道自己在做什么,只要你做对了。”

随着市场对商品和服务的需求增加,相关的成本会上升,用于生产这些商品和服务的商品价格也会上涨。

以下是罗杰斯对白银和黄金的看法。

“我同时拥有黄金和白银,但我现在两个都不会买。”

如果机会浮现,他会考虑买入更多白银,因为白银的价格要比以前便宜得多。他目前正在观望等待黄金或白银的行情变得更疲弱,再利用这个时机买入更多黄金或白银。

罗杰斯的最后一个建议:

“如果你正确地了解价格和基本面,那么不管你在做什么,你的风险都会相对减少。”

无论交易者决定购买哪一种金融证券,买在合适的价格、同时对该产品进行适当的研究,都可以降低交易风险。

如果你已经准备好展开交易之旅,建议你从 Vantage 模拟账户开始,提供高达$100,000的虚拟资金,以实际进行买卖操作模拟和无风险交易。或者,你也可以开设一个真实账户,在机会出现时立刻开始真金白银的交易。

James Beeland Rogers Jr.,吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers),美国资深投资人、Beeland Interests Inc. 董事长、金融作家、量子基金(Quantum)及索罗斯基金管理公司(Soros Fund Management)共同创办人。在1998年推出了罗杰斯国际商品指数。

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the interviewee and the author, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Vantage. The article is written based upon information the author considers reliable, and Vantage does not warrant its accuracy or completeness, and it should not be relied upon as such. Past performance is not an indication of future results.

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