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2023年01月04日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Wed, 2023 January 4 04:10

黄金外汇日评:隔夜美元低位反弹,非美普遍回落,金价依然坚挺。周三市场将密切关注美联储12月政策会议记录,在连续四次加息75个基点后,此次会议将加息幅度改为50个基点,并暗示利率可能会在更长时间内保持较高水平。据CME“美联储观察”:美联储2月加息25个基点至4.50%-4.75%区间的概率为72.2%,加息50个基点的概率为27.8%;到3月累计加息25个基点的概率为12.5%,累计加息50个基点的概率为64.5%,累计加息75个基点的概率为23%。

此外,俄国防部称乌军袭击致89名俄军死亡。黄金或继续受到支撑。晚间可关注美国11月JOLTS职位空缺指标。

美元收复上周跌幅,升破5日,10日均线,均线交错粘合,日线RSI进一步回升,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注103-105区间。

黄金收出流星阳线,下方受5日均线依托,短期均线呈多头排列,日线RSI上扬,后市有望延续上行并测试1850。

原油收出看跌吞没阴线,失守5日均线,均线金叉缩小,多头动能减弱,后市有望延续下行并测试76,73。

欧美大幅下挫,跌破5日,10日均线,失守关键支撑1.0580,日线RSI回落至50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1.05-1.07区间。

镑美继续跌破近期新低,受5日均线压制,日线呈头肩顶,RSI跌破50,后市有望延续下行并测试1.19。

澳美收长阴柱,5日,10日均线仍上扬呈多头排列,总体处于震荡偏多格局,0.66-0.6650为下方关键支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试0.68。

美日跌破新低,承压于5日均线,日线RSI位于低位,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注130-131.5区间。

白银冲高回落,立于5日均线上方,价格重心不断抬升,日线RSI位于高位,23.5一线存在强劲支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试24.5。

A50收出锤子阳线,继续徘徊于5日,10日均线附近,日线RSI位于50上方,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注12700-13300区间。

2023年01月04日 许曦扬

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