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2023年01月16日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Mon, 2023 January 16 06:47

黄金外汇日评:周五美元持续阴跌,非美及美国股指普遍走高。上周五公布的密西根大学调查显示,美国消费者对未来12个月价格压力将大大缓解越来越有信心,周五的一项调查显示,他们的一年期通胀预期在1月份降至2021年春季以来的最低水平。受此影响,美元进一步破低,且短线大概率将延续弱势。本周可重点关注中国1-12月工业及投资指标,中国四季度GDP,日央行决议,美国12月PPI,美国12月零售销售指标及12月房屋数据。

美元上周长阴下跌,仍承压于5周均线,波段有望延续回落。周五收出十字阴线,刺破前低,且跌破日线布林下轨,日线RSI行至低位,后市有望延续下行并测试101.5。

黄金上周强势反弹,站上布林上轨,5周,10周均线呈多头排列,波段有望进一步回升。周五再收长阳柱,升破关键压力1915,日线RSI接近超买区,后市有望延续上行并测试1932。

原油上周拐头上行,5周,10周均线走平,波段处于震荡偏空格局。日线呈前进三兵,5日,10日均线金叉扩大,73成为下方关键支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试81。

欧美周线呈看涨吞没阳线,立于5周均线上方,仍处于上行趋势线之上,波段有望延续反弹。周五小幅回落,今日破高,刺破日线布林上轨,1.0780附近仍存在较强支撑,后市有望延续上行并测试1.19。

镑美周线收阳,升破5周均线,5周,10周均线拐头上行,RSI回到50上方,波段有望延续回升。周五站上关键压力1.22,日线呈圆弧底,后市有望延续上行并测试1.23,1.2340。

澳美连续多周反弹,受5周均线依托,波段有望延续反弹。日线升破上升趋势线,短期均线金叉扩大,日线RSI进一步上扬,后市有望延续上行并测试0.7040。

美日上周重幅下挫,下探布林下轨,5周,10周均线呈死叉,波段有望延续下行。日线刺破布林下轨,始终处于下行通道内,日线RSI行至低位,后市有望延续下行并测试127。

白银上周收锤子阳线,站上5周均线,5周,10周均线呈多头排列,波段有望延续反弹。周五强势反弹,回到5日均线上方,日线RSI位于50上方,后市有望延续上行并测试24.5,24.8-25。

A50连续2周走高,逼近布林上轨,5周,10周均线呈死叉,波段有望延续反弹。周五收长阳柱,升破13600一线强压,日线RSI接近超买区,后市有望延续上行并测试14500。

2023年01月16日 许曦扬

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