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2023年01月30日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Mon, 2023 January 30 06:19

黄金外汇日评:周五美元继续小幅反弹,非美依然呈现分化。美国12月PCE物价指数年率录得5%,核心PCE物价指数年率为4%,符合预期,市场对此反应平淡。市场的焦点将迅速转移到本周的美联储、欧央行、英央行三大决议及1月非农上,尤其此次美联储主席鲍威尔还将发表讲话,作为新年决议首秀,他讲话中关于今年政策方向的措辞势必受到市场的广泛关注。

美元上周小幅反弹,未能升破5周均线,波段仍处于弱势。周五收流星小阳线,上探10日均线,5日,10日均线死叉缩小,日线RSI进一步回升,后市有望延续反弹并测试102.2,102.5。

黄金周线呈十字阳线,波段仍处于反弹格局,但多头力量开始放缓。周五收十字星,跌破4小时上行通道,测试10日均线,MACD开始下降,日线RSI回落,1935成为上方关键压力,后市有望延续下行并测试1915。

原油上周小幅回落,回踩5周均线,波段仍未摆脱震荡偏弱格局。周五收阴,仍徘徊于5日,10日均线附近,且均线走平,日线RSI位于50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注78-83区间。

欧美周线收出十字星,受5周均线依托,仍位于上行趋势线上方,波段有望延续上行。日线连续2日下挫,跌破5日均线,日线RSI走低,后市有望延续下行并测试1.0830,1.08。

镑美上周呈十字星,立于5周均线上方,波段仍处于震荡偏强走势。周五收小十字星,受5日,10日均线依托,日线RSI位于50上方,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1.23-1.2450区间。

澳美周线呈多方炮,5周,10周均线呈多头排列,波段有望延续反弹。周五小幅回升,受5日均线支撑,短期均线金叉未有明显缩小,日线RSI位于高位,后市有望延续震荡上行并测试0.7140,0.7170。

美日上周小幅反弹,仍未能有效升破5周均线,波段总体趋势偏空。周五收小阴线,仍围绕于下行趋势线及5日,10日均线附近,日线RSI回升至50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注128-131.5区间。

白银上周呈十字阴线,失守10周均线,多头力量减弱,波段有望延续震荡。周五大幅下挫,重新跌破10日均线,但仍处于此前震荡区间内,日线RSI位于50附近,后市有望延续下行并测试23。

A50周线呈前进三兵,立于5周均线上方,波段有望延续反弹。周五收十字星,今日拐头下行,回踩5日均线,日线RSI自超买区回落,后市有望延续下行并测试14000。

2023年01月30日 许曦扬

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