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2023年02月01日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Wed, 2023 February 1 05:19

黄金外汇日评:1月收官日美元冲高回落,非美走势分化。周二的数据显示,美国房价涨势明显放缓,11月涨幅为7.7%。美国劳工部周二表示,第四季就业成本指数(ECI)攀升1.0%,为2021年第四季以来最小升幅,第三季为上升1.2%。劳动力成本的升幅在一定程度上可能也会影响美联储对于通胀的预期。

美联储的政策决定将于周四公布,鲍威尔将举行新闻发布会。市场已消化了美联储加息25个基点,至4.5%-4.75%的预期。预计利率将在6月达到4.9%的峰值。此外,欧洲央行和英国央行预计将在周四加息50个基点。决议前后美元震荡的概率偏高。

美元收出倒锤阴线,受10日均线依托,5日,10日均线死叉缩小,日线RSI位于50下方,102.5上方面临强压,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注101-103.4区间。

黄金探底回升,上探5日,10日均线,回踩日线布林中轨,4小时呈头肩顶,1930为上方关键阻力,1900关口存在较强支撑,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1900-1950区间。

原油强势反弹,站上日线布林中轨,仍受5日,10日均线压制,日线RSI位于50附近,76一线获得支撑,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注73-83区间。

欧美收出锤子阳线,上探5日,10日均线,日线布林带呈多头排列,1.08关口存在较强支撑。后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1.08-1.0930区间。

镑美再度阴跌,失守5日均线,5日,10日均线呈死叉,4小时呈双顶,1.23关口为下方第一关键支撑,后市有望延续下行并测试1.2260。

澳美收出十字星,刺破10日均线,5日,10日均线金叉缩小,日线RSI进一步回落,0.7070附近面临强压,后市有望延续下行并测试0.70,0.6950。

美日收出小阴线,围绕5日,10日均线微幅震荡,日线RSI位于50下方,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注129-131区间。

白银企稳回升,守住23关口,5日,10日均线仍走平,日线RSI徘徊于50附近,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注23-24.5区间。

A50再度大幅下挫,回踩日线布林中轨,跌破14000一线关键支撑,日线RSI进一步回落,后市有望延续下行并测试13600。

2023年02月01日 许曦扬

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