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2023年02月03日市场分析

Vantage 更新 Updated Fri, 2023 February 3 07:15

黄金外汇日评:非农前夕,美元基本收回美联储决议后的跌幅,非美大幅回落。欧洲央行宣布加息50个基点,表示至少在下个月还会有一次同样幅度的加息,并表示随后将评估其货币政策的后续路径,决议声明基本符合预期。

英国央行也将利率提高了50个基点,并放弃了在必要时继续“强有力地”提高利率的承诺,并表示通胀可能已经见顶,英央行立场较市场预期更为鸽派。欧美,镑美重幅下挫。从新年第一份决议来看,美联储和英央行都开始由鹰转鸽。市场格局预计短线将趋于震荡。今日非农指标压轴,除了就业人数和失业率之外,市场的关注点也会集中在跟通胀息息相关的薪资增速上。

美元收长阳柱,上探5日,10日均线,两根均线死叉缩小,日线RSI自低位回升,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注101-103区间。

黄金收出看跌吞没大阴柱,回踩日线布林中轨,5日,10日均线拐头向下,交于死叉,日线RSI进一步回落,1930-1935再度成为下方强压,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1900-1935区间。

原油连续2日阴跌,短期均线死叉继续扩大,日线RSI跌至50下方,80上方面临强压,后市有望延续下行并测试73,70。

欧美长阴下行,下探5日,10日均线,且跌破关键支撑1.09,1.09-1.0920成为上方第一阻力。日线RSI跌破50,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注1.08-1.0920区间。

镑美呈看跌吞没阴线,下破日线布林中轨,1.24成为上方强压,日线RSI回落至50附近,后市有望延续下行并测试1.22,1.2150。

澳美同样大幅回落,跌破5日,10日均线,均线金叉缩小,日线RSI自高位回落,0.71,0.7130成为上方强压,后市有望延续下行0.7040,0.70。

美日小幅走低,仍承压于5日,10日均线,日线RSI位于低位,4小时呈多重顶,129上方存在密集压力,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注127-131区间。

白银冲高回落,刺破前高,5日,10日均线仍走平,日线RSI始终徘徊于50附近,23关口存在较强支撑,后市有望延续震荡,建议关注23-24.5区间。

A50日线呈空方炮,彻底失守日线布林中轨,5日,10日均线死叉扩大,日线呈头肩顶,14000为第一强压,后市有望延续下行并测试13600,13300。

2023年02月03日 许曦扬

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